Monday 11 January 2016

WHY SOME ASEAN MEMBER STATES OR CHINA ARE NOT IN THE TPPA

Yangon has always been a nice place to come back to. It is a very dynamic city, a melting pot of culture, yet distinctively Burmese. Mosques can be seen on the downtown Yangon although Pagodas are the main religious focus of the mainly Buddhist society. I met one Burmese, sitting next to me in the MH 740, a Burmese, yet a Christian, who spoke highly of Malaysia and the way Malaysia has been conducting itself in the past many years that Malaysia overtook Burma who used to be the richest country in Southeast Asia. Myanmar or Burma will soon be back on its past glory.

Whilst in Yangon I come across statements that why some ASEAN Member States like Indonesia, the Philippines and Thailand are not in the TPPA. This is not a new issue, just like why are not BRICs countries in the TPPA.

TPPA is a creature of APEC and opens to all APEC economies who is willing to join. It is by way of self invitation when an APEC economy is ready to be involved in the high standard trade agreement, which standard is higher than those in the WTO or the ASEAN Agreements. TPPA started as a P4, which is an agreement between Brunei, Chile, New Zealand and Singapore, all are APEC economies. APEC Leaders agreed that the P4 will be the basis of the TPPA and membership is voluntary. No one will be stopped from joining, as and when they are ready.

However, some ASEAN Member States, i.e. ASEAN-6 are not joining due to their domestic issues.

1. In the case of the Philippines, although they have indicated their interest to join, they have to look into capacity building, and further opening of the county's economies. The Philippines' early membership in TPPA is also subject to some constitutional constraints, which they have to overcome. Yet they are interested and are now preparing themselves for the accession into the agreement. Thus, to say that the Philippines is not interested is not true. Read here: http://cnnphilippines.com/business/2015/11/20/President-Benigno-Aquino-III-Trans-Pacific-Partnership-TPP-membership-PH.html

2. In the case of Thailand,  the constitutional crisis. Former Prime Minister Yingluck Shinawatra expressed the desire for Thailand to join TPP negotiations way back in 2012, when she met with President Obama. Read here:  http://www.ictsd.org/bridges-news/bridges/news/thailand-expresses-interest-in-joining-trans-pacific-trade-talks-as-tpp

The rest is history.

3. Indonesia has to work on their domestic economy such as liberalisation of their investment in main and services sector before joining. Yet President Jokowi has also stated his country's interest in joining.

Back to Yangon, the country is slowly moving back to its former glory. The successful general election shows the maturity of the people of Myanmar in embracing democracy.

Have a good week ahead.

Friday 1 January 2016

Welcome ASEAN Community

Its 1st January 2016 and the ASEAN Community is supposed to be have come into being on 31st December 2015. As expected no headlines mention about ASEAN Community on the 1st January 2016, even though ASEAN has reached a big milestone in the last 27th ASEAN Leaders' Summit in Kuala Lumpur. In fact I was hoping for Malaysia to at least hit the headline by welcoming the ASEAN Community, but none was forthcoming. The ASEAN Leaders should have held a special session on 31st December 2015 to commemorate this important milestone. However, it has been a very quiet day in all the 10 ASEAN Member States as far as the commemoration is concerned.

For those who are interested, and all ASEAN citizens should be interested, ASEAN Community consists of 3 different communities, the ASEAN Political-Security Community; the ASEAN Socio-cultural community and the ASEAN Economic Community. These are three pillars of further cooperation and closer integration of the 10 ASEAN Member States in the next 10 years, especially with the launching of the ASEAN Community 2025 Forging Ahead Together. For those who are interested can obtain a copy of the ASEAN Community 2025 from the ASEAN website www.asean.org.

ASEAN Community  attracts attention from all over the world. In the last ASEAN Community Forum in Berlin the German and the European Union has shown great interest in the progress in the ASEAN Community. In the last ASEAN Economic Integration Forum organised by Institute of Malaysian and International Studies (IKMAS), the World Trade Institute (WTI) and St. Antony's College, University of Oxford, we discussed at length the progress and challenges to the further development of the ASEAN Community.






On 13 January 2016, IKMAS together with the Institute of Diplomacy and Foreign Relations, Ministry of Foreign Affairs (IDFR) Malaysia will organise the first forum of the year on the ASEAN Community 2025. Let us work together to make ASEAN Community 2025 a success by taking steps towards the implementation of the work plans and the higher level of integration in the 10 member states.

HAPPY NEW YEAR, HAPPY ASEAN COMMUNITY